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How do get roster updates for nhl for the PS3 or then there should be an option to download a roster update under the online section. The methodology is the same: using a three-year baseline (when possible) to assess everything a player does on the ice. Sounds like you played the game for 5 minutes, got frustrated, and quit. The Bolt Beat staff each ranked their top 10 most talented (not most important, there is a clear distinction) players on the roster this season. Bruins have limited options to bolster the top of their roster as NHL free agency begins. The official 2020 roster of the Edmonton Oilers, including position, height, weight, date of birth, age, and birth place. Following the draft and (most of) free agency, where do all 31 teams stack up?
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[Game Thread] Dallas Stars @ Tampa Bay Lightning (Sep. 21, 2020)
- Location: Rogers Place - Edmonton, AB
- Broadcast: NBCSN, Radio
- Live Chat: Join Discord
- Time: Central: 7:00PM
- GAME NOTES
Coming off their Eastern Conference finals clinching win over the New York Islanders on Thursday, the Lightning had far less jump in the first two periods compared to a Dallas team that had four full days between games. The Lightning won't likely dominate all game like they did in Saturday's third period, but it will be shocking if they're not much better to start instead of -- as coach Jon Cooper described -- watching the Stars skate around.
UNFIT TO PLAY: Johns, Bishop, Faksa
Game notes from espn.com. As you discuss the game, please abide by sub rules.
- BE LOUD! WEAR GREEN! GO STARS!
The Leafs Roster Compared to Stanley Cup Winners
The model isn't perfect, of course, and it shouldn't be used to evaluate players in a vacuum, but because Dom also posts his model's look at every NHL team, it should be fair to compare his model's average Stanley Cup winner against the Leafs roster during the play ins.
The Leafs roster can be found here for anyone with a subscription: https://theathletic.com/1957765/2020/07/30/2020-nhl-qualifying-round-preview-maple-leafs-vs-blue-jackets/
For those without access to the Athletic, here's the rundown:
Matthews is significantly above the average Stanley cup winning 1C. Marner is slightly above average as the best winger, but Hyman on that line is below the value of a top line winger. The line averages out to a value of 9.8, which is well above the 9.3 value of an average first line on a cup winner.
Tavares is significantly better than the average second line center, but below the level of a cup winning 1C. Nylander is slightly below the level of a teams 2nd best winger, which is usually spread onto the second line rather than stacked on the top line. Mikheyev is above the average for the last top six winger. Overall, they're valued at 6.9, whereas a second line is normally valued at 5.8.
Third line is where the Leafs hit some trouble. An average third line is valued at 2.8, whereas the Leafs group with Robertson was valued at 1.9. Swapping Johnsson for Kapanen won't make up the difference either, so third line is an issue, at least until Robertson takes another step in the NHL.
Surprisingly, The Leafs fourth line is actually making up some lost value. A stanley cup average fourth line is rated at .6, whereas the Leafs are extracting 1 win of excess value from our trio.
Engvall on the fourth and Robertson's continued development bode well for us to run four above average lines next season, should we bring this exact group back! If Kerfoot settles into the lineup earlier and plays all of next season like he played during the play-ins, he might also see a boost. If not, he's a player to look at to upgrade.
The model actually has an average stanley cup team playing a first pairing that features a team's best defenseman, and their 5th best beside them! The average team gets 3.4 wins from their top pairing, but the Leafs are mustered 2 wins from Rielly and Ceci (Rielly was a 2.2, .3 under a top pairing D, and Ceci was a -.2, 1.1 wins under the average 1D partner).
Average second pairings feature a teams second best and third/fourth best player. On the Leafs Muzzin was worth 1.5 wins and Holl was worth just .5 wins -- average second pairings feature a D worth 1.6 wins and a partner worth 1.1 wins. Again, the Leafs are underperforming here.
Third pairings feature a defenseman worth 1.1 wins, and a partner worth .4 wins. Barrie alone is worth 1.4 wins, and he did play like one in the post season given he wasn't a defensive liability during the play-ins. Travis Dermott is worth .6 wins here, which means our third pair this year exceeded expectations.
Overall, the defense needs work. Reilly and Muzzin are SLIGHTLY under the thresholds we want for our best and second best defensemen, but Holl and Dermott need to see a big jump if they want to be worth of anything more than third pairing playoff duties. Adding a true 1D bumps every player into a better spot, however -- Pietrangelo and Muzzin gives us an above average first pairing, Rielly - Dermott/Holl gives us an average second pairing, and hopefully growth from Sandin gets the third pairing to average status as well!
Average winning goalies are worth 3 wins on their own. Freddie is worth 2. Additionally, in a later section Dom shows that winning goalies play hot -- on average they almost double their value to be worth 5 wins in the post season. Freddie is solid for us, and we've seen him that hot this past November, but he hasn't been anywhere near that level in the post season so far. The lowest ranking goalie to win a cup this decade was worth 2.1 wins, so Freddie CAN win, but it's certainly not very likely.
What do the Leafs need:
1) Third line center or winger growth! Our third line is underperforming and needs a boost. Outside that one player, the entire forward group is above average, from top six to the fourth line. There's depth in the organization.
2) A 1D. Rielly is above average as a teams second best defensemen, and Muzzin is above average as a teams third best defenseman, and grabbing a true 1D lets the top four play in better positions to succeed.
3) Stronger (or luckier) goaltending. This past play-in showed team defense isn't the issue in important games -- most analysis show the Leafs punching above their weight defensively, but having goalscoring issues which sank them. Getting the same goaltending we faced would have had the Leafs win in four!
What can the Leafs afford to give up?
1) Marner -- no. You lose him and you don't have a strong enough winger to replace him anywhere in the top six. Winners have a elite center and an elite winger, and we don't get that without Marner.
2) Nylander -- no. Again, you need a second winger of that high calibre to win according to the averages.
3) Tavares. Downgrading him actually makes the roster fit closer to what an average stanley cup winning team looks like, but to downgrade him, we need to get back a high end 2C AND a 1D! Otherwise we are better off with Tavares.
When we look at the roster, it has its strength on offense, a weakness on defense that can only be fixed with a 1D, and a need for an even better goalie (Freddie is great, so if he gets hot or elevates his playoff games, then he's good enough)! Letting Robertson grow should help with third line depth, just like Sandin's growth will give us a genuine third line driver. Despite that, we are short a 1D and don't have the current assets to trade for one without significantly impacting the roster as it is currently.
The Way Forwards:
Sign Pietrangelo and sacrifice third line assets -- they aren't providing excess value anyways. That's the only solution we have right now, and its a gamble since it guts the third line and HEAVILY relies on growth from prospects, or cheap replacement signings.